Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.200384 0.227954 0.257531 0.291571 0.329619 0.370786 0.418649
2026-01-11 0.163440 0.200293 0.242466 0.294123 0.355507 0.425925 0.512624
2026-01-18 0.138444 0.180950 0.232367 0.298766 0.381824 0.481836 0.610882
2026-01-25 0.121326 0.167919 0.227109 0.307158 0.411831 0.543203 0.719586
2026-02-01 0.104444 0.152440 0.216229 0.306214 0.428700 0.588247 0.810170
2026-02-08 0.090731 0.139117 0.206161 0.304458 0.443217 0.630105 0.898400
2026-02-15 0.079642 0.127877 0.197355 0.302915 0.456977 0.670877 0.986839
2026-02-22 0.072621 0.121613 0.194708 0.309387 0.481819 0.727777 1.100367
2026-03-01 0.065055 0.113504 0.188302 0.309336 0.496595 0.770653 1.195837
2026-03-08 0.058664 0.106442 0.182636 0.309585 0.511325 0.813739 1.293426
2026-03-15 0.053283 0.100372 0.177826 0.310496 0.526710 0.858179 1.394923
2026-03-22 0.049218 0.096053 0.175360 0.314758 0.547319 0.911319 1.512045
2026-03-29 0.045874 0.092805 0.174648 0.322291 0.574451 0.977368 1.654977
2026-04-05 0.042113 0.088353 0.171413 0.325205 0.594071 1.032572 1.783881
2026-04-12 0.039084 0.084915 0.169607 0.330355 0.617662 1.095369 1.928273
2026-04-19 0.036911 0.082882 0.170121 0.339579 0.648738 1.172038 2.099249
2026-04-26 0.033647 0.078246 0.165299 0.338567 0.661553 1.218538 2.222100
2026-05-03 0.030631 0.073746 0.160271 0.336655 0.672427 1.262039 2.341751
2026-05-10 0.027959 0.069648 0.155611 0.334972 0.683425 1.306081 2.464208
2026-05-17 0.026433 0.067891 0.155481 0.342060 0.711129 1.380864 2.643760
2026-05-24 0.024366 0.064644 0.151949 0.342007 0.725108 1.431557 2.782786
2026-05-31 0.022522 0.061687 0.148733 0.342280 0.739610 1.483747 2.926721
2026-06-07 0.020906 0.059071 0.145994 0.343277 0.755489 1.539110 3.078781